A possible nuclear war between Russia and NATO over Ukraine

The War in Afghanistan was the great defeat of the Soviet Union, which boasted of not having lost any war, that defeat destroyed the USSR, which disappeared on December 3, 1991, but before that the so-called Warsaw Pact collapsed, which meant the departure of Russian troops and the KGB from Eastern European countries, the fall of the Berlin Wall, the reunification of Germany, the cruelest invader of the USSR in history, who devastated the territory of that country In the Second World War.

The defeat of Afghanistan in 1979 produced the dismemberment of the USSR, beginning with the Baltic Republics, such as Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia, which were later followed by Chechnya, which failed in its attempt, but Georgia succeeded, although it lost part of its territory like Abkhazia, and now the irreversible separation of Ukraine.

But Russia's defeat against Ukraine is somewhat worse than the defeat in Afghanistan because it implies the possible end of the Russian Federation since it opens the possibility that the states that make up the Russian Federation separate or demand a change in relations with Moscow, which implies irremediable independence. Among the worst losses would be the loss of control of Kazakhstan, where Russia has its rocket and space exploration base, at El Baikonur.

The defeat of Putin, and the army of the Russian Federation, in what is the first frontal war outside its territory, and is forecast as a debacle, not because the troops of the two sides suffer defeats, but because it opened the Box Pandora of the wars of the 21st century, where what soldiers and weapons do is less harmful than what economic sanctions, communications, disinformation, cyber warfare, the destruction or blocking of energy supplies, the use of nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons, which cannot be directed, but rather have an indefinite, tangible and non-tangible spectrum of action, which can affect the last corner of the planet, as cobid 19 did, affect the climate, which is already out of control and has become the worst threat, or multiply poverty and hunger, on a planet where the population already exceeds 6 billion inhabitants, who also now have many more needs because they consume as would, 18. a billion inhabitants, from the beginning of the 20th century, in addition, it is a population that now reads, writes, uses the cell phone, and the internet, is informed, uses medicines, has powerful weapons at hand, can play with drugs, the illegal traffic of everything, can jump borders and cross oceans.

Even if Russia succeeds in prolonging the occupation of Ukrainian territory indefinitely, it cannot maintain that occupation without a horrible deterioration in all aspects within Russia, both because of the economic sanctions and because of the prolonged resistance it faces. In addition, it has a small population that does not grow, with the majority of old people, chronically ill and low fertility in a fertile territory, which has grown extraordinarily due to climate change, which due to low population density, cannot be used, Siberia is an attraction for China and India, the most overpopulated countries in the world, which are on the border ready to invade it peacefully or not.