How have Lenin Moreno, the pandemic and the economic crisis created the ideal conditions for the triumph of Andrés Araúz?

 Lenin Moreno, the president who will be remembered for his betrayal, the mismanagement of the economy and the pandemic in Ecuador, has created the ideal conditions for any opponent of his government and the allies with whom he achieved 4 years in office, such as Guillermo Lasso, Jaime Nebot, Luis Macas de Pachacutec, MPD, the military, the government of Donald Donald Trump, and the neoliberal presidents of South America.

The fact that Moreno still retains power, despite his low popularity that does not even reach 7%, and has more than 90% disapproval, is due to the interventionism of Donald Trump, and the control he has had in these four years over the Ecuadorian police and army from the North American military bases of Manta and Galapagos.

The extraordinary fury with which this government of Ecuador, has persecuted those who were his friends, colleagues, who allowed him to be vice president of Ecuador for 6 years and a delegate of the Correa government to the UN, far exceeds everything that his mandate for fulfilling the campaign promises that led him to the presidency. These include the creation of 250,000 jobs per year and 250,000 low-cost housing for the population.

On the contrary, his government freed the richest, whether businessmen, banks or transnationals, from paying 4.5 billion dollars in taxes. Money that these businessmen put to good collection, producing an uncontrollable flight of capital, something serious in a dollarized country like Ecuador.

In addition to resuscitating politicians who had done a lot of damage to the country such as Abdalá Bucaram, who once again did his thing under the protection of Lenín Moreno, Ecuadorians are left with the ungrateful moment when we discovered that the hospitals, which responded very bad for the health crisis produced by the COVID-19 pandemic and COVID-2, because the assembly members, most of them members of the party of President Moreno Alianza País, had distributed them as political spoils, and that the money after the declaration In an emergency, it was used in fraudulent purchases of medicines, tests, equipment, just as the payment of the External Debt was prioritized over the use of that money in resources to face the economic and health crisis after the quarantine and social distancing .

But as was his false speech from the second day in office, Lenín Moreno justified his inability to govern, not in his physical and mental inability to serve as president of Ecuador, but because former president Rafael Correa had not left him the table served, with millions of dollars missing or misused.

This contrasted with the evidence that millions of Ecuadorians know that the Correa government was the government that gave the most public investment, works, scholarships, credits, rights, public services, security, and justice, it gave Ecuadorians in the 192 years of existence of this country.

The trials, the judges, the prosecutor Diana Salazar, the procedures created so many doubts inside and outside the country that INTERPOL, until now, has repeatedly refused to comply with the detention requested by Lenin Moreno, against Rafael Correa.

All this has created the stage and the conditions for Andrés Arauz, an economist, former director of the Central Bank in the Correa government, young and with no other record than his studies outside the country, to be the out-sider or unknown candidate, , comes to power, without the possibility that Correa's opponents, who are divided into 15 candidates and countless candidates and parties, could reach a second round until December. This is that already on February 7, Ecuador would surely have a new president, by overwhelming majority, which apparently will be Andrés Arauz.

But the pandemic, the economic crisis and the change of presidents in the USA are factors that the anti-runners now fear.

The next few days, which are the last of Moreno, and are days in which Araúz, Rafael Correa's representative in these elections, can demonstrate his variance, starting to demonstrate the betrayals, inconsistencies, errors, and victims of the Moreno government. Meanwhile, the right will use the sentences of the CNJ and the press, the sentences against Correa to discredit Araúz.