The electoral campaign enters the pre-electoral month and in it there are 14 candidates, 13 who want the continuity of what was the Moreno government, which co-governed with most of them, and only one flatly against, since it is that of those persecuted by the government of Lenín Moreno.
These elections have the particularity that they occur during the pandemic due to covid 19, which has produced more deaths and illnesses than other recent epidemics, and that it is global, that it is lived in real time and it is known what happens until the last ricon of the planet.
In Ecuador, the pandemic produced a health crisis that had different nuances from what happened in other countries. In the first place, it was spectacular, especially in Guayaquil, which attracted the news media from all over the world, which highlighted how the dead were in houses, streets, hospitals, cemeteries and even in cardboard coffins, but also that hospitals, the The purchase of medicines, tests, and equipment had become an infamous business between the government and its closest allies such as the Bucaram family, who benefited from the public comparators, their assembly members who divided the hospitals, and the use of the fear, and the public force to silence the protests that began in October last year due to the economic crisis, which was complicated by IMF measures such as the increase in fuel, but also uncontrollable for 9 months, that is until now.
At the moment at the beginning of December, Ecuador is in an economic depression, which exceeds minus 9 points of its GDP, complicated by being a country that depends on the dollar as its currency, and on the very unstable price of oil, which has multiplied poverty, since the state ceased to be the main generator of employment, permanent and temporary jobs, as it was in the time of Rafael Correa, from 2006 to 2016, companies and private initiatives, small or large, The majority are bankrupt or detained, the debts of the population are no longer only with banks, warehouses, or lenders, but with the state due to the inability to pay public services, or taxes.
The pandemic on the other hand changed the way of studying, working, communicating, informing ourselves, deciding, which changes the order established until before this 2020, also changing the needs and possibilities of the population, which the candidates cannot recognize, define. nor do they have clear solutions to win votes, since the most notable thing so far is their ignorance, that they cannot recognize the past, what is being lived and what is coming unstoppably.
Among the candidates, the most lucid at the moment is Araúz, who is representing Rafael Correa, since the former president has been prevented from returning to the country and being a candidate for nothing.
Correa, who has had the extraordinary possibility of being aware of and attentive to what the country is going through, more than anyone else, because this government prevented him from leaving Ecuador behind and forced him to reevaluate everything he did and the people with whom he created the best time of the country, the period 2008 to 2016, in which from a new constitution, the availability of more income due to the renegotiation with foreign oil companies, which extract oil from the Amazon and the foreign debt, created a new The destination of these resources, which were invested in works, goods and services, on behalf of all Ecuadorians, were not given to the richest resources of the State, so that they supposedly generate employment, as the Moreno government did, therefore which finally turned his government into a government without works, with unemployment, flight of capital, human resources and excessive loss of natural resources.
This is what favors Andrés Araúz to win the elections. The fact that the 4 years of Moreno and his allies have been so bad, that just as people mourn Maradona's death, Moreno's death would be received as a well-deserved punishment from God, with celebrations throughout the country.
Moreno is a Titanic that sinks irretrievably, after its collision with an iceberg called a pandemic, but the patidos and people who backed him or supported him are also sinking with him, which allows us to predict an easy and resounding victory in a single lap of Araúz. and the end of the majority of the 14 political parties participating in these elections.
But it also opens the possibility for Araúz president in transition, who calls a new Constituent Assembly and with it new elections, which may usher in another full decade with Latin American socialism in power, or the possibility that other new movements , like environmentalism, enter to contest in the elections, after the worldwide setbacks of the old conservatism, communism, liberalism, nationalism, neoliberalism, and neo-nationalisms like Bolsonaro's.
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